Due to defects in the reliability of Thailand’s causes of death data, formulation of the public
health policy and planning for curative and preventive strategies is not fully responsive to people’s actual
health needs. In this study , there are three methods of establishing the cause of death : (1) diagnosed by
medical specialist, the gold standard ; (2) verbal autopsy (VA), a technique where by public health
personnels establish the cause of death through interviews with the deceased’s relatives and friends;(3)
report of the cause of death from death certificate, almost by local registrars.The objective of this
thesis is to assess the sensitivity and specificity of the VA technique against the gold standard and to
compare its consistency against the third method.
In this study, 4,050 deaths in Nakorn Sri Thammarat during July 1, 1997–June 30, 1998, were
studied by using the VA. It was found that about 2,339 cases or 58 percent were identified causes of
death by VA technique. Data without diagnosis causes of death by public health personnels accounts for
1,711 cases or 42 percent. It was found that the majority were diseases of circulatory system (such as
cerebrovascular diseases, hypertensive diseases and ischemic heart diseases), ill-defined causes
(including senility), and external causes of morbidity and mortality (such as transport accidents and
assault).
It was found that the VA technique best fitted ill-defined causes, including senility. The
sensitivity as well as specificity was equal to 90 percent. It was not so sensitive (71 percent) in the
category of infectious and parasitic diseases, such as HIV and diarrhoea, but its specificity was high at
97. The percentages were about the same for external cause of morbidity and mortality, (such as transport
accidents, accidental drowning and submersion, and intentional self-harm) at 71 and 93 percent for
sensitivity and specificity, respectively.
The findings reveal that causes of death established by VA technique conform better to those
established by medical diagnosis than do those the report of cause of death from death certificate.Percentage
consistency to medically diagnosed causes of death to those established by VA was 66
percent while percentage consistency of causes of death from death certificate was 40 per cent.
So the recommended solution in helping verify causes of death in Thailand and reduce numbers
of unknown causes of death is to allow local health personnel with the VA method training course to
identify and record causes of death where there is no medical diagnosis possible.
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